2019 HURRICANE SCOREBOARD
|
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Prediction
|
Actual
|
|||||||
June
|
July
|
Aug.
|
Sept.
|
Oct.
|
Nov.
|
Total
|
||
| Named Storms |
12
|
0
|
1
|
3
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
18*
|
| Hurricanes |
6
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
6
|
| Major Hurricanes |
3
|
0
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
| *Total includes Subtropical Storm Andrea which formed in May. |
NOAA Tropical Weather Summary
(December 1, 2019)
|
Overall, the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal activity. Eighteen named storms formed, of which six became hurricanes and three became major hurricanes – category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the long-term average of twelve named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. |
INTERESTING TO NOTE: The long-term average of twelve named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes match the “predictions” made by NOAA in May. This raises the question as to whether NOAA is actually forecasting tropical storm activity, or merely using past experience to predict activity. Obviously, if they are just using averages to arrive at their predictions, there is no science behind these predictions. However, in May, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center stated that it was “predicting a near-normal hurricane season this year”. Accordingly, it is possible that the prediction of “near-normal” is based on meteorological modeling, and that NOAA then uses averages to arrive at the actual number of storms. In any event, if the prediction is the overall level of activity for the year, then NOAA’s prediction of “near-normal” activity was wrong. Looking forward to the predictions for next year. |
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2019 NAMED STORMS
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|
Name
|
Month
|
Type
|
Max Wind
|
|
Andrea |
May |
Subtropical
Storm |
40
|
|
Barry |
July |
Hurricane |
75
|
|
Chantal |
August |
Tropical
Storm |
40
|
|
Dorian |
August |
Major
Hurricane |
185
|
|
Erin |
August |
Tropical
Storm |
40
|
|
Fernand |
September |
Tropical
Storm |
50
|
|
Gabrielle |
September |
Tropical
Storm |
60
|
|
Humberto |
September |
Major
Hurricane |
125
|
|
Imelda |
September |
Tropical
Storm |
40
|
|
Jerry |
September |
Hurricane |
105
|
|
Karen |
September |
Tropical
Storm |
45
|
|
Lorenzo |
September |
Major
Hurricane |
160
|
|
Melissa |
October |
Tropical
Storm |
65
|
|
Nestor |
October |
Tropical
Storm |
60
|
|
Olga |
October |
Tropical
Storm |
40
|
|
Pablo |
October |
Hurricane |
80
|
|
Rebekha |
October |
Subtropical
Storm |
45
|
|
Sebastian |
November |
Tropical
Storm |
55
|
