2019 HURRICANE SCOREBOARD - FINAL

2019 HURRICANE SCOREBOARD
	Prediction	Actual
		June	July	Aug.	Sept.	Oct.	Nov.	Total
Named Storms	12	0	1	3	7	5	1	18*
Hurricanes	6	0	1	1	3	1	0	6
Major Hurricanes	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	3

*Total includes Subtropical Storm Andrea which formed in May.

NOAA Tropical Weather Summary (December 1, 2019)

Overall, the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal activity. Eighteen named storms formed, of which six became hurricanes and three became major hurricanes – category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the long-term average of twelve named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.

INTERESTING TO NOTE: The long-term average of twelve named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes match the “predictions” made by NOAA in May. This raises the question as to whether NOAA is actually forecasting tropical storm activity, or merely using past experience to predict activity. Obviously, if they are just using averages to arrive at their predictions, there is no science behind these predictions. However, in May, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center stated that it was “predicting a near-normal hurricane season this year”. Accordingly, it is possible that the prediction of “near-normal” is based on meteorological modeling, and that NOAA then uses averages to arrive at the actual number of storms. In any event, if the prediction is the overall level of activity for the year, then NOAA’s prediction of “near-normal” activity was wrong. Looking forward to the predictions for next year.

2019 NAMED STORMS
Name	Month	Type	Max Wind
Andrea	May	Subtropical Storm	40
Barry	July	Hurricane	75
Chantal	August	Tropical Storm	40
Dorian	August	Major Hurricane	185
Erin	August	Tropical Storm	40
Fernand	September	Tropical Storm	50
Gabrielle	September	Tropical Storm	60
Humberto	September	Major Hurricane	125
Imelda	September	Tropical Storm	40
Jerry	September	Hurricane	105
Karen	September	Tropical Storm	45
Lorenzo	September	Major Hurricane	160
Melissa	October	Tropical Storm	65
Nestor	October	Tropical Storm	60
Olga	October	Tropical Storm	40
Pablo	October	Hurricane	80
Rebekha	October	Subtropical Storm	45
Sebastian	November	Tropical Storm	55